World News from data (good & bad)
Significant changes vs. 10 days ago in transmission rates, ICU demand, and cases & deaths data.
- Transmission rate:
- โญ Bad news: new waves ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ฑ๐บ ๐ธ๐ณ ๐จ๐พ ๐ฒ๐ฝ ๐น๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ฆ ๐น๐ฌ ๐จ๐ฎ ๐ช๐ธ ๐ซ๐ฎ ๐ซ๐ท ๐ฌ๐ถ ๐ฆ๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ท ๐บ๐ธ ๐ฑ๐ง ๐ป๐ณ ๐ฆ๐ฟ ๐ฌ๐ช ๐ญ๐ท ๐ฐ๐ฟ ๐ท๐ด ๐จ๐ฟ ๐ฉ๐ฐ ๐ต๐น ๐ฐ๐ญ ๐ต๐พ ๐ง๐พ ๐น๐ฑ ๐ฒ๐ฐ
- ๐ข Good news: slowing waves ๐น๐ฏ ๐จ๐ฉ ๐ธ๐ฑ ๐ท๐ผ ๐ฆ๐ซ ๐ธ๐พ ๐ง๐ฎ ๐บ๐ฌ ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ณ ๐ฒ๐ท ๐ธ๐ฉ ๐ช๐ท
- ICU need
- โญ Bad news: higher ICU need ๐น๐ณ ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฟ๐ฆ ๐ฟ๐ผ ๐ท๐บ ๐ง๐ผ ๐ฐ๐ฌ ๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ง ๐จ๐ด ๐ฒ๐ฝ ๐จ๐พ ๐ซ๐ฏ ๐จ๐บ ๐ฒ๐ณ ๐ญ๐ณ ๐ต๐น ๐ต๐ฆ ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐น ๐ฌ๐ช ๐ง๐ฉ ๐ท๐ผ ๐ช๐จ ๐ฒ๐พ
- ๐ข Good news: lower ICU need ๐บ๐พ ๐ต๐พ ๐ง๐ญ ๐ง๐ท ๐น๐น ๐จ๐ฑ ๐ฒ๐ป ๐ณ๐ต ๐ฑ๐ป ๐ง๐ด ๐ฑ๐น ๐ญ๐บ ๐ธ๐ท ๐ง๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ฐ ๐ฌ๐ท ๐จ๐ท ๐ญ๐ท ๐จ๐ป ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ธ๐ช ๐ฎ๐น ๐ธ๐ฎ ๐ฒ๐ช ๐ฌ๐พ ๐ณ๐ฑ ๐บ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐ฐ ๐ฎ๐ณ ๐ง๐ช ๐ช๐ช ๐ต๐ฑ ๐ฆ๐ท ๐จ๐ฟ ๐ฉ๐ช ๐จ๐ญ ๐ต๐ธ ๐ฉ๐ฐ ๐ฑ๐พ ๐ฆ๐น ๐น๐ผ ๐ช๐ฌ ๐จ๐ฆ
- New cases and deaths:
- โญ Bad news: new first significant outbreaks
- ๐ข Good news: no new cases or deaths ๐น๐ฉ
- Mixed news: no new deaths, only new cases ๐จ๐พ ๐ฑ๐บ ๐ฑ๐ธ ๐ฆ๐บ ๐ช๐ช ๐ฌ๐ฆ ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ผ ๐ฒ๐บ ๐ฒ๐น ๐ง๐ซ ๐ธ๐ด ๐ณ๐ฟ ๐ฉ๐ฏ ๐ต๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ฒ ๐ง๐ฏ ๐จ๐ซ
- No news: continously inactive countries ๐น๐ฟ ๐ฎ๐ธ
- Deaths burden:
- Appendix:
Transmission rate:
Large increase in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a relapse, new wave, worsening outbreak.
- Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
- Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
- "Large increase" = at least +2% change.
Large decrease in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a slowing down / effective control measures.
- Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
- Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
- "Large decrease" = at least -2% change.
Large increases in need for ICU beds per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- Only countries for which the ICU need increased by more than 0.2 (per 100k).
Large decreases in need for ICU beds per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- Only countries for which the ICU need decreased by more than 0.1 (per 100k).
Countries that have started their first significant outbreak (crossed 1000 total reported cases or 20 deaths) vs. 10 days ago.
New countries with no new cases or deaths vs. 10 days ago.
- Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths and had an active outbreak previously.
New countries with no new deaths (only new cases) vs. 10 days ago.
- Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths and had an active outbreak previously.
Countries that had no new cases or deaths 10 days ago or now.
- Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths.
- Caveat:these countries may have stopped reporting data like Tanzania.
Countries with significantly higher recent death burden per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- "Significantly higher" = 100% more.
- Only considering countries that had at least 10 recent deaths in both timeframes, and death burden of at least 0.1 per 100k.
Countries with significantly lower recent death burden per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- "Significantly lower" = 50% less
- Only considering countries that had at least 10 recent deaths in both timeframes, and death burden of at least 0.1 per 100k.